Today is Memorial Day. Yes, yes, I know. The"official" holiday of Memorial Day is celebrated the last Monday of May; this year May 25. But May 30 is the original day set aside by the United States Congress in 1868 to remember the dead of both sides of the Civil War. It was then called "Decoration Day". It was since much later changed to Memorial Day -- a day of remembrance for of those no longer with us -- friends, family, and others. It is also a time for reflection and review. (For an informed overview, history of Memorial Day, see Wikipedia's entry here.)
So, this is really Memorial Week, the official start of Summer tourism in the Berkshires and throughout New England resort area. The annual migration to Pittsfield and surroundings has begun. Tourism is a major part of the economy of the Berkshires. How summer develops will reflect the economy. Will people still vacation here or stay at home? Labor Day signifies the end of Summer tourism, although for some, the true end of Summer tourism is October 12, Columbus Day.
Already gas prices have started to climb again. They really began creeping up Mother's Day. Now gas prices in the area are averaging near $2.50 per gallon rates. A year ago we were entering the $4 range with no end in sight. The prices broke in November, going down below $2 for the first time. They stayed down until May 2009. (See Motor Trend's Gas Price Locator for Pittsfield area prices and AAA's fuel gauge report on daily state and region prices.)
Reflecting on oil and gas increases to sustained $4 + prices, we see immediate and far reaching effects that have thrown the US economy into one continuing crisis after another, making it especially difficult for small businesses to stay afloat, but also major Fortune 500 companies. Witness the bankruptcy of Chrysler Corporation and the coming bankruptcy of General Motors Monday June 1st. Of course, it was more than gas prices that led to the collapse of the automotive industry in the United States, but for the consumer it was the key. Companies with large inventories on dealer's lots, inventory that did not move, together with crisis in credit financing, the bank bailouts and bailouts of the auto industry. Great losses have occurred. Even Toyota experienced billion dollar losses and Toyota has very diversified offerings, something that could not be said for either Chrysler or General Motors. Auto dealers not moving inventory are offering "going out of business" sales now. Long term relations between dealers and the auto industry are being severed through the bankruptcy restructuring process. The automobile industry will survive but not as the mega-giants they once were.
Another impact of the automotive industry collapse has been on parts suppliers and credit financing agencies such GMAC (General Motors Assistance Corporation). Part suppliers Delta and Visteon are in bankruptcy. (See Business Week article on this). For consumers availability of parts is always a problem Meanwhile the taxpayers are guaranteeing Chrysler's warranties.
Collapse of the automotive industry has been impacted by its inability to confront major trends in the manufacturing economy -- the larger context of the problem. Forbes Magazine has just published a major special report, Made in America, focusing on major manufacturing trends since 1979. These articles represent an informed analysis of what has happened and what needs to happen for the "second American century." The manufacturing sector has changed dramatically. Currently there are 12 million Americans in manufacturing where it was once 19.5 million in 1979. The 12 million that still have jobs have advanced in productiviy and efficiency. Much more is produced with 12 million than the 19.5 milion. The reason for increase in productivity in two words: the Techological Revolution. The effective mating of computer and machinery together with robots and increased sophistication. This has led to manufacturing productivity at the highest level ever $1.6 trillion, according to John Engler, President of the National Association of Manufacturers, in his Forbes article, "Forging a Second American Century", Economist Robert Reich, author of Supercapitalism, foresees in his article, "Manufacturing Jobs Are Never Coming Back" a different scenario. According to Reich unskilled jobs are not coming back and this is a worldwide phenomenon. Instead manufacturing is calling for highly skilled jobs with machines and robots doing the repititive and and even skilled work. Whatever you think this report represents a significant attempt at understanding our current predicament. It is education and continuous training that is needed.
While we're reflecting on these trends and the reemergence of increased gas prices, hopefully you'll take a moment or two to enjoy your summer vacation, wherever you take it. Even in the great recession we're going through, there are positive developments and opportunites to be had.
During this Memorial Week I hope you've taken time to Remember. Remember those no longer with you and those who are still living. And have a happy Summer! Enjoy the beautiful Berkshires!
So, this is really Memorial Week, the official start of Summer tourism in the Berkshires and throughout New England resort area. The annual migration to Pittsfield and surroundings has begun. Tourism is a major part of the economy of the Berkshires. How summer develops will reflect the economy. Will people still vacation here or stay at home? Labor Day signifies the end of Summer tourism, although for some, the true end of Summer tourism is October 12, Columbus Day.
Already gas prices have started to climb again. They really began creeping up Mother's Day. Now gas prices in the area are averaging near $2.50 per gallon rates. A year ago we were entering the $4 range with no end in sight. The prices broke in November, going down below $2 for the first time. They stayed down until May 2009. (See Motor Trend's Gas Price Locator for Pittsfield area prices and AAA's fuel gauge report on daily state and region prices.)
Reflecting on oil and gas increases to sustained $4 + prices, we see immediate and far reaching effects that have thrown the US economy into one continuing crisis after another, making it especially difficult for small businesses to stay afloat, but also major Fortune 500 companies. Witness the bankruptcy of Chrysler Corporation and the coming bankruptcy of General Motors Monday June 1st. Of course, it was more than gas prices that led to the collapse of the automotive industry in the United States, but for the consumer it was the key. Companies with large inventories on dealer's lots, inventory that did not move, together with crisis in credit financing, the bank bailouts and bailouts of the auto industry. Great losses have occurred. Even Toyota experienced billion dollar losses and Toyota has very diversified offerings, something that could not be said for either Chrysler or General Motors. Auto dealers not moving inventory are offering "going out of business" sales now. Long term relations between dealers and the auto industry are being severed through the bankruptcy restructuring process. The automobile industry will survive but not as the mega-giants they once were.
Another impact of the automotive industry collapse has been on parts suppliers and credit financing agencies such GMAC (General Motors Assistance Corporation). Part suppliers Delta and Visteon are in bankruptcy. (See Business Week article on this). For consumers availability of parts is always a problem Meanwhile the taxpayers are guaranteeing Chrysler's warranties.
Collapse of the automotive industry has been impacted by its inability to confront major trends in the manufacturing economy -- the larger context of the problem. Forbes Magazine has just published a major special report, Made in America, focusing on major manufacturing trends since 1979. These articles represent an informed analysis of what has happened and what needs to happen for the "second American century." The manufacturing sector has changed dramatically. Currently there are 12 million Americans in manufacturing where it was once 19.5 million in 1979. The 12 million that still have jobs have advanced in productiviy and efficiency. Much more is produced with 12 million than the 19.5 milion. The reason for increase in productivity in two words: the Techological Revolution. The effective mating of computer and machinery together with robots and increased sophistication. This has led to manufacturing productivity at the highest level ever $1.6 trillion, according to John Engler, President of the National Association of Manufacturers, in his Forbes article, "Forging a Second American Century", Economist Robert Reich, author of Supercapitalism, foresees in his article, "Manufacturing Jobs Are Never Coming Back" a different scenario. According to Reich unskilled jobs are not coming back and this is a worldwide phenomenon. Instead manufacturing is calling for highly skilled jobs with machines and robots doing the repititive and and even skilled work. Whatever you think this report represents a significant attempt at understanding our current predicament. It is education and continuous training that is needed.
While we're reflecting on these trends and the reemergence of increased gas prices, hopefully you'll take a moment or two to enjoy your summer vacation, wherever you take it. Even in the great recession we're going through, there are positive developments and opportunites to be had.
During this Memorial Week I hope you've taken time to Remember. Remember those no longer with you and those who are still living. And have a happy Summer! Enjoy the beautiful Berkshires!
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